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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −30.37₴

Invest at least 617.24₴

Average return 586.87₴

ROI −4.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 617.24 ₴, profit at most −30.37 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

136.46 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×1

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

26.36 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

96.37 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 259.19 ₴ +327.68 (+126.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

136.46 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

82.80 ₴

at 82.80

Steam

×1

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

26.36 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

64.25 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 309.86 ₴ +343.73 (+110.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

136.46 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

165.59 ₴

at 82.80

Steam

×1

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

26.36 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

32.12 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 360.53 ₴ +359.77 (+99.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 44%
About break-even 8%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

449.48 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 220.87 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

275.08 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

289.47 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

92.68 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.051999

398.00 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

247.59 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.190999

44.93 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +234.60 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +276.84 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 34 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2601527 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 383.36₴ · invest 285.33₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601952 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 377.37₴ · invest 262.40₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601895 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 363.99₴ · invest 233.06₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601897 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 356.69₴ · invest 234.47₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601444 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 354.79₴ · invest 247.40₴
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601894 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 351.01₴ · invest 235.88₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601953 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 348.38₴ · invest 262.40₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601896 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 347.85₴ · invest 233.06₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2600656 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 345.85₴ · invest 272.99₴
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074637 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601916 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 345.34₴ · invest 249.73₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074021 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601747 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 343.72₴ · invest 224.54₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074506 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2602056 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 340.74₴ · invest 229.14₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2602038 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 338.39₴ · invest 215.85₴
SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601624 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 336.63₴ · invest 231.56₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601626 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 331.63₴ · invest 231.56₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601529 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 330.01₴ · invest 285.33₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078971 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601898 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 328.82₴ · invest 234.47₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078195 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601987 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 327.21₴ · invest 240.92₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601581 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 326.29₴ · invest 236.02₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601795 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 323.84₴ · invest 267.04₴
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075166 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2602039 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 321.74₴ · invest 216.09₴
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601924 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 317.75₴ · invest 223.29₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077414 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601923 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 316.68₴ · invest 218.38₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2602076 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 313.40₴ · invest 262.34₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2601528 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 310.13₴ · invest 314.29₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078358 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601730 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 310.10₴ · invest 252.69₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075377 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601802 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 309.93₴ · invest 303.60₴
P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601731 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 309.16₴ · invest 266.72₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075496 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601587 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 307.71₴ · invest 252.87₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074146 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601702 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 305.65₴ · invest 277.95₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P2000 | Handgun: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.075373; P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.075373; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004016 instead of 0.004701
Craft 2601625 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 303.46₴ · invest 233.63₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601954 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 301.15₴ · invest 279.88₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601748 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 294.13₴ · invest 225.50₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074905 instead of 0.075373
Craft 2601631 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 293.30₴ · invest 339.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075373

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build