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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −858.97₸

Invest at least 6 742.33₸

Average return 5 883.36₸

ROI −12.7%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 6 742.33 ₸, profit at most −858.97 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

917.10 ₸

at 229.27

Steam

×1

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

265.76 ₸

at 265.76

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1 619.17 ₸

at 323.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 802.03 ₸ +3 081.33 (+110.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −411 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

229.27 ₸

at 229.27

Steam

×7

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 860.32 ₸

at 265.76

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

647.67 ₸

at 323.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 737.26 ₸ +1 176.33 (+43.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 531.30 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

22 388.95 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 968.52 ₸ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 918.17 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 848.27 ₸ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 012.35 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 496.00 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

452.94 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 095.74 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 695.00 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 34 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2601527 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 3 864.71₸ · invest 2 876.51₸
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601952 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 3 804.36₸ · invest 2 645.29₸
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601895 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3 669.50₸ · invest 2 349.52₸
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601897 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3 595.84₸ · invest 2 363.72₸
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601444 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 3 576.66₸ · invest 2 494.11₸
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601894 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3 538.62₸ · invest 2 377.91₸
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601953 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 3 512.11₸ · invest 2 645.29₸
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601896 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3 506.76₸ · invest 2 349.52₸
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2600656 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 3 486.59₸ · invest 2 752.05₸
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074637 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601916 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 3 481.40₸ · invest 2 517.59₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074021 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601747 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 3 465.09₸ · invest 2 263.60₸
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074506 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2602056 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 435.03₸ · invest 2 310.01₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2602038 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3 411.33₸ · invest 2 176.05₸
SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601624 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 3 393.66₸ · invest 2 334.41₸
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601626 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 3 343.23₸ · invest 2 334.41₸
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601529 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 3 326.94₸ · invest 2 876.51₸
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078971 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601898 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3 314.85₸ · invest 2 363.72₸
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078195 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601701 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 3 303.42₸ · invest 2 612.91₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P2000 | Handgun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075373 instead of 0.074590; P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075373 instead of 0.074590; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004701 instead of 0.004016
Craft 2601987 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 3 298.65₸ · invest 2 428.75₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601581 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 3 289.41₸ · invest 2 379.31₸
rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601795 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 3 264.68₸ · invest 2 692.03₸
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075166 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2602039 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3 243.56₸ · invest 2 178.43₸
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601924 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3 203.26₸ · invest 2 251.08₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077414 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601923 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3 192.49₸ · invest 2 201.53₸
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2602076 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 3 159.46₸ · invest 2 644.70₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075373 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601528 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 3 126.46₸ · invest 3 168.39₸
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078358 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601730 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 3 126.16₸ · invest 2 547.44₸
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075377 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601802 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 3 124.49₸ · invest 3 060.61₸
P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601731 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 3 116.74₸ · invest 2 688.90₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075496 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601587 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 3 102.10₸ · invest 2 549.22₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074146 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601625 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 3 059.22₸ · invest 2 355.24₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601954 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 3 035.95₸ · invest 2 821.56₸
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601748 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 2 965.20₸ · invest 2 273.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074905 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2601631 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 2 956.85₸ · invest 3 418.06₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074590

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build