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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −91.21₴

Invest at least 374.80₴

Average return 283.58₴

ROI −24.3%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 374.80 ₴, profit at most −91.21 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

45.49 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

35.84 ₴

at 7.17

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

82.19 ₴

at 27.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 163.51 ₴ +120.07 (+73.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

90.46 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

116.43 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

193.39 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

163.75 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

73.56 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

449.48 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 220.87 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

691.24 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +76.66 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +101.79 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2601564 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 108.96₴ · invest 183.48₴
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.115957 instead of 0.076021

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build