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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float −0.66$

Invest 1.20$

Average return 0.53$

ROI −55.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 1.20 $, profit −0.66 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 23 contracts · easy (estimate)

×9

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2398

0.44 $

at 0.05

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2398

0.04 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.48 $ +0.05 (+11.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 55%
About break-even 22%

in profit

best

AWP | Acheron

Field-Tested

float up to 0.248999

1.07 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.53 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.52 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.49 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Teardown

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

0.16 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.023999

0.46 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Night Ops

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

0.22 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Anubis Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2601781 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 0.06$ · invest 0.59$
M249 | Spectrogram (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.233583 instead of 0.239807
Craft 2601547 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 0.05$ · invest 0.53$
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.241258 instead of 0.239807
Craft 2601893 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 0.05$ · invest 0.48$
P90 | Wash me (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.233583 instead of 0.239807
Craft 2602075 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 0.05$ · invest 0.48$
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build