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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −10.19$

Invest at least 21.51$

Average return 11.32$

ROI −47.4%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 21.51 $, profit at most −10.19 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

1.84 $

at 1.84

Steam

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

6.67 $

at 0.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.51 $ +2.81 (+33.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 97%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 3%

in profit

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.70 $ 90.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

10.00 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

49.41 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15.38 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.75 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.51 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2637419 · The Safehouse Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 3.02$ · invest 8.54$
outcome without sales rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004171 instead of 0.005515
Craft 2601258 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.95$ · invest 7.37$
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.005515

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build