to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −8.72₴

Invest at least 51.40₴

Average return 42.68₴

ROI −17.0%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 51.40 ₴, profit at most −8.72 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

8.03 ₴

at 2.68

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

8.71 ₴

at 2.90

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Bizoom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

5.74 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.48 ₴ +20.21 (+89.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

2.51 ₴

at 2.51

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8.03 ₴

at 2.68

souvenirSteam

×6

PP-Bizon | Bizoom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

8.61 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.15 ₴ +11.77 (+61.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

5.01 ₴

at 2.51

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Bizoom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

1.35 ₴

at 1.35

Steam

×7

PP-Bizon | Bizoom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

10.04 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.40 ₴ +2.75 (+16.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

5.01 ₴

at 2.51

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2.68 ₴

at 2.68

souvenirSteam

×7

PP-Bizon | Bizoom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

10.04 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.73 ₴ +7.30 (+41.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.043565

57.26 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

69.67 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

112.37 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.040951

65.25 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Vendetta

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

7.00 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Aeolian Dark

Factory New

float up to 0.056634

12.09 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Snow Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

7.65 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Snow Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

6.75 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.99 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Achroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.55 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Achroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2602945 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 21.48₴ · invest 22.95₴
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075121 instead of 0.074848; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075121 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2603002 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 21.44₴ · invest 22.48₴
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075260 instead of 0.074848; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075260 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2602944 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 21.28₴ · invest 22.50₴
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.074848; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2603466 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 20.34₴ · invest 22.07₴
XM1014 | Canvas Cloud (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.074848; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2601398 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 18.82₴ · invest 26.15₴
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074768 instead of 0.074848; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074768 instead of 0.074848
Craft 2603261 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 16.50₴ · invest 20.31₴
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074170 instead of 0.074848; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074170 instead of 0.074848

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build