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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −75.40₸

Invest at least 518.13₸

Average return 442.73₸

ROI −14.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 518.13 ₸, profit at most −75.40 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

80.96 ₸

at 26.99

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

87.76 ₸

at 29.25

souvenirSteam

×4

G3SG1 | Green Cell

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

57.86 ₸

at 14.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 226.58 ₸ +216.16 (+95.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

50.52 ₸

at 25.26

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Commando Company

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

13.60 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Green Cell

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

101.25 ₸

at 14.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.37 ₸ +52.62 (+31.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

25.26 ₸

at 25.26

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

80.96 ₸

at 26.99

souvenirSteam

×6

G3SG1 | Green Cell

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

86.79 ₸

at 14.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 193.00 ₸ +137.36 (+71.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

25.26 ₸

at 25.26

souvenirSteam

×5

FAMAS | Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

68.01 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | Green Cell

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

57.86 ₸

at 14.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 151.12 ₸ +10.69 (+7.1%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

Order

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

577.23 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

702.40 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

1 132.82 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.041124

657.76 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey

Factory New

float up to 0.058788

190.36 ₸ 4.44%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

377.32 ₸ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Acid Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

70.97 ₸ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Marsh

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

72.54 ₸ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Acid Hex

Factory New

float up to 0.050749

70.49 ₸ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Mustard Gas

Factory New

float up to 0.055124

72.27 ₸ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper

Factory New

float up to 0.056960

84.30 ₸ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

63.47 ₸ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Garter-9

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

91.43 ₸ 4.44%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +125.65 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +168.34 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Boreal Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2602945 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 216.54₸ · invest 231.33₸
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075121 instead of 0.075260; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075121 instead of 0.075260
Craft 2602944 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 214.49₸ · invest 226.79₸
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.075260; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.075260
Craft 2603466 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 205.04₸ · invest 222.47₸
XM1014 | Canvas Cloud (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.075260; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.075260
Craft 2602845 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 203.68₸ · invest 226.58₸
PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.075260; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.075260
Craft 2601398 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 189.68₸ · invest 263.60₸
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074768 instead of 0.075260; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074768 instead of 0.075260
Craft 2603261 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 166.38₸ · invest 204.77₸
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074170 instead of 0.075260; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074170 instead of 0.075260

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

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How to build