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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −506.50₽

Invest at least 1 549.74₽

Average return 1 043.24₽

ROI −32.7%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 1 549.74 ₽, profit at most −506.50 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

233.59 ₽

at 233.59

Steam

×7

CZ75-Auto | Imprint

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

270.69 ₽

at 38.67

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

160.60 ₽

at 80.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 664.88 ₽ +378.36 (+56.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −265 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

467.18 ₽

at 233.59

Steam

×5

CZ75-Auto | Imprint

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

193.35 ₽

at 38.67

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

240.90 ₽

at 80.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 901.43 ₽ +330.41 (+36.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 256 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

700.77 ₽

at 233.59

Steam

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

675.84 ₽

at 337.92

souvenirSteam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Imprint

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

116.01 ₽

at 38.67

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

160.60 ₽

at 80.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 653.22 ₽ +144.43 (+8.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −919 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

700.77 ₽

at 233.59

Steam

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

337.92 ₽

at 337.92

souvenirSteam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Imprint

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

116.01 ₽

at 38.67

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

240.90 ₽

at 80.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 395.60 ₽ +213.45 (+15.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −582 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

700.77 ₽

at 233.59

Steam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Imprint

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

116.01 ₽

at 38.67

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

321.20 ₽

at 80.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 137.98 ₽ +282.47 (+24.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

537.32 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 555.89 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

179.00 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343.04 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

298.89 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3 305.87 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 293.55 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

2 855.91 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +179.74 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +331.97 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2609142 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 351.79₽ · invest 763.42₽
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076143 instead of 0.075599; XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005375 instead of 0.004899

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build