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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −19.33₽

Invest at least 88.10₽

Average return 68.77₽

ROI −21.9%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 88.10 ₽, profit at most −19.33 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

15.00 ₽

at 5.00

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

5.42 ₽

at 5.42

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.52 ₽

at 2.52

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

15.00 ₽

at 3.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.94 ₽ +30.83 (+81.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

27.10 ₽

at 5.42

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

11.07 ₽

at 11.07

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

12.00 ₽

at 3.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.17 ₽ +36.90 (+73.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

27.10 ₽

at 5.42

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

22.14 ₽

at 11.07

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9.00 ₽

at 3.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.24 ₽ +37.98 (+65.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

27.10 ₽

at 5.42

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

33.21 ₽

at 11.07

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

6.00 ₽

at 3.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.31 ₽ +39.05 (+58.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

27.10 ₽

at 5.42

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

44.28 ₽

at 11.07

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

3.00 ₽

at 3.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 74.38 ₽ +40.13 (+54.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

20.15 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

21.56 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

111.27 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

16.94 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

15.06 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

106.95 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

130.14 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

209.89 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.032899

121.87 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 15.00 → 33.90 ₽

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5.42 → 11.71 ₽

MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2.52 → 5.44 ₽

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 15.00 → 37.05 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.052499, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.041999, 0.041999, 0.034999, 0.041999, 0.041999, 0.032899

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.03 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.79 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2602945 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 40.12₽ · invest 42.86₽
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075121 instead of 0.074170; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075121 instead of 0.074170
Craft 2603002 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 40.05₽ · invest 41.98₽
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075260 instead of 0.074170; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075260 instead of 0.074170
Craft 2602944 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 39.74₽ · invest 42.02₽
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.074170; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.074170
Craft 2603466 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 37.99₽ · invest 41.22₽
XM1014 | Canvas Cloud (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.074170; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.074170
Craft 2602845 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 37.74₽ · invest 41.98₽
PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.074170; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.074170
Craft 2601398 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 35.14₽ · invest 48.84₽
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074768 instead of 0.074170; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 1; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074768 instead of 0.074170

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build