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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −318.87₸

Invest at least 716.86₸

Average return 398.05₸

ROI −44.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 716.86 ₸, profit at most −318.87 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

136.55 ₸

at 136.55

souvenirSteam

×6

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

106.87 ₸

at 17.81

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

68.01 ₸

at 22.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 311.42 ₸ +86.63 (+27.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −226 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

723.50 ₸

at 144.70

souvenirSteam

×4

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

90.67 ₸

at 22.67

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

29.41 ₸

at 29.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 843.59 ₸ +68.38 (+8.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −159 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

136.55 ₸

at 136.55

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

434.10 ₸

at 144.70

souvenirSteam

×6

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

136.01 ₸

at 22.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 706.66 ₸ +76.80 (+10.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −397 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

1 012.90 ₸

at 144.70

souvenirSteam

×2

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

58.83 ₸

at 29.41

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

81.88 ₸

at 81.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 153.60 ₸ +15.33 (+1.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 22%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139285

492.93 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

343.64 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141428

194.89 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

208.44 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

1 260.74 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117857

1 217.67 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

1 448.67 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117857

3 222.95 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Bank Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +36.86 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +68.33 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build