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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −108.57₽

Invest at least 208.80₽

Average return 100.23₽

ROI −52.0%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 208.80 ₽, profit at most −108.57 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4530

22.00 ₽

at 22.00

souvenirSteam

×7

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

50.68 ₽

at 7.24

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

14.50 ₽

at 7.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.18 ₽ +13.05 (+15.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 ₽

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

24.12 ₽

at 24.12

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

50.60 ₽

at 25.30

souvenirSteam

×1

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

7.24 ₽

at 7.24

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

43.50 ₽

at 7.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 125.46 ₽ +16.50 (+13.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

214.48 ₽

at 26.81

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

7.25 ₽

at 7.25

Steam

×1

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

15.17 ₽

at 15.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.90 ₽ +9.37 (+4.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −48 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

50.60 ₽

at 25.30

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

107.24 ₽

at 26.81

souvenirSteam

×4

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

29.00 ₽

at 7.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186.84 ₽ +17.70 (+9.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

101.20 ₽

at 25.30

souvenirSteam

×5

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

36.20 ₽

at 7.24

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

7.25 ₽

at 7.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.65 ₽ +18.17 (+12.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

181.62 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.018666

74.33 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

17.88 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

233.59 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128333

225.61 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.114333

268.41 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128333

597.15 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Bank Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.09 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.27 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build