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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit at most · with float −47.61₴

Invest at least 109.02₴

Average return 61.41₴

ROI −43.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 109.02 ₴, profit at most −47.61 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

14.35 ₴

at 14.35

souvenirSteam

×8

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

21.42 ₴

at 2.68

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

10.44 ₴

at 10.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.21 ₴ +15.20 (+32.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

43.06 ₴

at 14.35

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

8.03 ₴

at 2.68

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

41.76 ₴

at 10.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 92.85 ₴ +62.61 (+67.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

13.55 ₴

at 13.55

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

14.35 ₴

at 14.35

souvenirSteam

×5

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

13.38 ₴

at 2.68

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

31.32 ₴

at 10.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.60 ₴ +35.83 (+49.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

173.78 ₴

at 28.96

Steam

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

103.88 ₴

at 34.63

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

10.44 ₴

at 10.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 288.11 ₴ +149.52 (+51.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

worst

P90 | Teardown

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

12.31 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.010181

20.64 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Night Ops

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

16.66 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

183.84 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338.46 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

178.90 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 528.22 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Bank Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.50 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build