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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit · by float −284 844.67₸ by average prices it would be +18 058.64

Invest 487 841.56₸

Average return 202 996.89₸

ROI −58.4% market check 15.10 14:22 MSK

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 430 372.84 ₸, profit at most −227 432.19 ₸

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −35 229.06 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0806

70 691.50 ₸

at 70 691.50

souvenirSteam

×7

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0806

74 465.18 ₸

at 10 637.88

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0092

39 725.33 ₸

at 19 862.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184 882.01 ₸ +18 058.64 (+9.8%)

What you get 2 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | B the Monster

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

191 223.21 ₸ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Desert Hydra

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

543 751.77 ₸ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Minimal Wear) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 70 691.50 → 152 693.63 ₸

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) × 7 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 74 465.18 → 189 886.22 ₸

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) × 2 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 39 725.33 → 87 792.98 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.052499

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4 724.41 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 416.00 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2606990 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 17 464.52₸ · invest 173 942.42₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078144 instead of 0.080601; Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New): float at most 0.007126 instead of 0.009276

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 2 outcomes

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How to build