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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −398.34₴

Invest at least 902.78₴

Average return 504.44₴

ROI −44.1%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 902.78 ₴, profit at most −398.34 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

170.19 ₴

at 28.36

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

102.78 ₴

at 51.39

souvenirSteam

×2

P2000 | Grassland

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

112.43 ₴

at 56.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 385.40 ₴ +119.05 (+30.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

113.46 ₴

at 28.36

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

102.78 ₴

at 51.39

souvenirSteam

×4

P2000 | Grassland

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

224.86 ₴

at 56.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 441.10 ₴ +83.13 (+18.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −97 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

103.88 ₴

at 34.63

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

51.39 ₴

at 51.39

souvenirSteam

×6

P2000 | Grassland

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

337.29 ₴

at 56.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 492.56 ₴ +51.45 (+10.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

141.82 ₴

at 28.36

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

102.78 ₴

at 51.39

souvenirSteam

×3

P2000 | Grassland

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

168.64 ₴

at 56.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 413.25 ₴ +101.08 (+24.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

183.84 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338.46 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

178.90 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 528.22 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Nitro

Field-Tested

float up to 0.154181

297.21 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Detour

Factory New

float up to 0.054727

1 161.78 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | VariCamo Blue

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

554.36 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Bank Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.41 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +78.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build