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The 2021 Train Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −14.41$

Invest at least 33.46$

Average return 19.05$

ROI −43.1%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 33.46 $, profit at most −14.41 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1759

5.12 $

at 5.12

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

2.37 $

at 0.79

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

6.79 $

at 1.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.28 $ +4.77 (+33.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

10.24 $

at 5.12

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.68 $

at 0.68

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

7.92 $

at 1.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.84 $ +6.00 (+31.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

10.24 $

at 5.12

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

7.69 $

at 7.69

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.94 $

at 0.94

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

6.79 $

at 1.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.67 $ +4.98 (+19.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

5.12 $

at 5.12

Steam

×4

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

30.76 $

at 7.69

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

5.66 $

at 1.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.54 $ +0.70 (+1.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

5.12 $

at 5.12

Steam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

23.07 $

at 7.69

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.79 $

at 0.79

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

5.66 $

at 1.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.64 $ +1.80 (+5.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 60%

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.29 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.71 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.72 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

78.75 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

77.83 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

89.16 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.66 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build