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The 2021 Train Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −6 236.39₸

Invest at least 11 209.99₸

Average return 4 973.60₸

ROI −55.6%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 11 209.99 ₸, profit at most −6 236.39 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

AUG | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

1 512.20 ₸

at 1 512.20

Steam

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

3 020.40 ₸

at 335.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 532.59 ₸ +441.01 (+9.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 8%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 92%

about break-even

worst

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 300.29 ₸ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.005945

16 493.77 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

7 884.16 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

10 074.14 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.007837

7 698.61 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

5 319.35 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −517.92 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −161.65 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2637456 · The Safehouse Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 486.87₸ · invest 4 153.81₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005668 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2637472 · The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 485.22₸ · invest 4 368.14₸
rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build