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The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −390.94₴

Invest at least 724.34₴

Average return 333.41₴

ROI −54.0%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 724.34 ₴, profit at most −390.94 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

100.05 ₴

at 100.05

Steam

×8

AUG | Signal Scanner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

161.26 ₴

at 20.16

Steam

×1

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

41.94 ₴

at 41.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 303.24 ₴ +30.16 (+9.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 2%

in profit

AWP | Black Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

487.20 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

261.60 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Smart Gun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

306.33 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.065999

1 636.09 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

342.53 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

423.34 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.086999

414.42 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

527.65 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.96 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2638520 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 31.09₴ · invest 272.35₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170478 instead of 0.162694; AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077123 instead of 0.074415

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build