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The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float +7.84₴

Invest at least 80.22₴

Average return 88.06₴

ROI +9.8%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 80.22 ₴, profit at most +7.84 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

13.95 ₴

at 13.95

souvenirSteam

×5

MP7 | Army Recon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

7.17 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Army Mesh

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

13.68 ₴

at 3.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.81 ₴ +53.25 (+153.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −66 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

97.66 ₴

at 13.95

souvenirSteam

×2

MP7 | Army Recon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.87 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Army Mesh

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

3.42 ₴

at 3.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.95 ₴ +35.87 (+34.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −31 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

69.76 ₴

at 13.95

souvenirSteam

×3

MP7 | Army Recon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

4.30 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Army Mesh

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

6.84 ₴

at 3.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.91 ₴ +41.66 (+51.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AUG | Condemned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190.13 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

15.62 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

9.57 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Gator Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

8.54 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Orange Peel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.08 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Forest Leaves

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

155.15 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

90.46 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Factory New

float up to 0.010270

211.55 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

233.17 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

227.07 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +34.07 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +48.60 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2602694 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 50.49₴ · invest 29.41₴
sells slowly

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074700 instead of 0.074357; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004112 instead of 0.003812
Craft 2607901 · The Anubis Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 49.45₴ · invest 32.58₴
sells slowly

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074764 instead of 0.074357; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004169 instead of 0.003812

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build