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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −565.53$

Invest at least 1 324.75$

Average return 759.22$

ROI −42.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 324.75 $, profit at most −565.53 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −396.27 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

105.01 $

at 105.01

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

75.90 $

at 25.30

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

369.08 $

at 61.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 549.99 $ +209.23 (+38.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −69 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

105.01 $

at 105.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

118.80 $

at 118.80

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

75.90 $

at 25.30

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

307.57 $

at 61.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 607.27 $ +134.72 (+22.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −202 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

315.02 $

at 105.01

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

50.60 $

at 25.30

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

307.57 $

at 61.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 673.19 $ +51.58 (+7.7%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 373.01 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

238.44 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water

Factory New

float up to 0.064307

694.82 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +174.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +203.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2631387 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 218.62$ · invest 545.00$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079359 instead of 0.075091; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.004454
Craft 2609357 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 212.49$ · invest 507.75$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077737 instead of 0.075091; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.006770 instead of 0.004454
Craft 2638704 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 206.88$ · invest 509.42$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079873 instead of 0.075091; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008638 instead of 0.004454

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build