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The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −124.04$

Invest at least 237.89$

Average return 113.86$

ROI −52.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 237.89 $, profit at most −124.04 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

22.51 $

at 22.51

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

61.86 $

at 7.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

13.45 $

at 13.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.82 $ +16.03 (+16.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

40.45 $

at 20.23

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

45.01 $

at 22.51

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

46.40 $

at 7.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 131.86 $ +13.49 (+10.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

60.68 $

at 20.23

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

45.01 $

at 22.51

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

38.66 $

at 7.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.35 $ +11.49 (+8.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −81 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

101.13 $

at 20.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

67.52 $

at 22.51

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

6.82 $

at 6.82

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

7.73 $

at 7.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183.20 $ +4.13 (+2.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

45.01 $

at 22.51

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

6.82 $

at 6.82

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

54.13 $

at 7.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 105.96 $ +18.39 (+17.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.140999

144.90 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92.83 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

234.27 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128799

244.86 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.46 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.80 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2619938 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 16.63$ · invest 83.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075037 instead of 0.076712; StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075037 instead of 0.076712
Craft 2620003 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 15.96$ · invest 85.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074696 instead of 0.076712; StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074696 instead of 0.076712

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build