to all crafts

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −80.20₴

Invest at least 569.97₴

Average return 489.77₴

ROI −14.1%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 569.97 ₴, profit at most −80.20 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

37.36 ₴

at 37.36

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

186.04 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 223.40 ₴ +266.38 (+119.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

149.43 ₴

at 37.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

21.20 ₴

at 10.60

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

82.68 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 253.32 ₴ +143.99 (+56.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

186.79 ₴

at 37.36

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

31.80 ₴

at 10.60

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

41.34 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 259.94 ₴ +106.55 (+41.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −48 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

18.61 ₴

at 18.61

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

224.15 ₴

at 37.36

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

31.80 ₴

at 10.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 274.56 ₴ +30.29 (+11.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 8%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

715.98 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

444.26 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

982.10 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483.81 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

367.27 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

207.38 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

387.53 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

191.03 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

191.03 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +179.19 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +256.76 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620857 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 290.33₴ · invest 212.91₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2615173 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 285.91₴ · invest 212.91₴
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2621434 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 268.00₴ · invest 214.46₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 2620706 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 261.43₴ · invest 252.07₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build