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The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −14.05$

Invest at least 47.57$

Average return 33.52$

ROI −29.5%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 47.57 $, profit at most −14.05 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

6.59 $

at 3.30

Steam

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

0.95 $

at 0.95

Steam

×7

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

12.13 $

at 1.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.68 $ +13.84 (+70.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7.58 $

at 2.53

Steam

×6

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

19.78 $

at 3.30

Steam

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

0.95 $

at 0.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.32 $ +14.73 (+52.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.05 $

at 2.53

Steam

×6

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

19.78 $

at 3.30

Steam

×2

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

1.91 $

at 0.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.74 $ +14.95 (+55.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 27%

in profit

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57.99 $ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

worst

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.93 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.34 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

25.37 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74.74 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

53.10 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.69 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.46 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620807 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 11.30$ · invest 18.56$
rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear), P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.074210
Craft 2621476 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 10.84$ · invest 18.40$
rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162532 instead of 0.162105; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074359 instead of 0.074210

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build