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The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −233.08₴

Invest at least 754.01₴

Average return 520.94₴

ROI −30.9%

Chance of profit 14%

With float: invest at least 754.01 ₴, profit at most −233.08 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

112.08 ₴

at 37.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

35.90 ₴

at 17.95

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

170.60 ₴

at 34.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 318.58 ₴ +202.36 (+63.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 14%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 191.26 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

809.03 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

258.00 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

382.50 ₴ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

114.95 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

207.38 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

387.53 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

191.03 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

191.03 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 only The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +115.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +179.08 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2627753 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 237.81₴ · invest 292.94₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161578 instead of 0.163027; StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161578 instead of 0.163027
Craft 2615758 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 233.17₴ · invest 279.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161742 instead of 0.163027; StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161742 instead of 0.163027
Craft 2635685 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 218.54₴ · invest 321.77₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Ripple (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build