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The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −5.48$

Invest at least 70.92$

Average return 65.44$

ROI −7.7%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 70.92 $, profit at most −5.48 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

13.19 $

at 3.30

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

15.83 $

at 2.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.02 $ +36.42 (+125.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7.58 $

at 2.53

Steam

×6

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

19.78 $

at 3.30

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

2.21 $

at 2.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.58 $ +18.34 (+62.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

3.30 $

at 3.30

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

15.83 $

at 2.64

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

25.73 $

at 8.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.85 $ +31.10 (+69.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

6.59 $

at 3.30

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

15.83 $

at 2.64

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

17.15 $

at 8.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.57 $ +32.87 (+83.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 87%
Losing outcome 13%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130.35 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52.39 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

25.37 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74.74 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

53.10 $ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.24 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2634006 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 35.24$ · invest 39.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164922 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2636098 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.00$ · invest 37.77$
sells slowly

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164922 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2638178 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.97$ · invest 24.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164922 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2638316 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.42$ · invest 26.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163812 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2638179 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.29$ · invest 24.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165058 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2638614 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 29.42$ · invest 39.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163812 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2626589 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.24$ · invest 28.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165679 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2614042 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.10$ · invest 26.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165679 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2638456 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.92$ · invest 32.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165358 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2620529 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.82$ · invest 24.66$
sells slowly

Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164236 instead of 0.163316
Craft 2635744 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.24$ · invest 22.84$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of P250 | Supernova (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build