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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −2.35$

Invest at least 4.66$

Average return 2.31$

ROI −50.4%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 4.66 $, profit at most −2.35 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4865

0.93 $

at 0.16

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

0.71 $

at 0.24

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

0.34 $

at 0.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.98 $ +0.34 (+17.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3.00 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.97 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4.41 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.64 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.84 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227999

1.90 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.78 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.197599

8.93 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

2.61 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.333799

2.03 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.29 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620805 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 0.34$ · invest 1.89$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)
Craft 2621196 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 0.33$ · invest 1.97$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479802 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162462 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2621471 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 0.32$ · invest 1.90$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477560 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161525 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2621197 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 0.32$ · invest 1.97$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)
Craft 2621144 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 0.31$ · invest 2.17$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483132 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163855 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2616282 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.31$ · invest 1.87$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478587 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161954 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2621365 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 0.31$ · invest 2.00$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.509468 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174868 instead of 0.165295

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build