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The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −3.16$

Invest at least 7.75$

Average return 4.59$

ROI −40.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 7.75 $, profit at most −3.16 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

0.11 $

at 0.11

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.03 $

at 0.26

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.88 $

at 0.44

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.39 $

at 0.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.40 $ +1.18 (+34.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.44 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.34 $ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

2.43 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

1.74 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

3.00 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

1.88 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

1.73 $ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.11 → 0.23 $

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 1.03 → 2.42 $

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.88 → 1.94 $

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 1.39 → 3.15 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.099999900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.099999, 0.099999, 0.099999, 0.099999, 0.099999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.95 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2628209 · The Genesis Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.28$ · invest 3.33$
P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested), SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2625922 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.01$ · invest 4.31$
MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074015 instead of 0.074078; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074015 instead of 0.074078
Craft 2609766 · The Ascent Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 0.97$ · invest 2.65$
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested), FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear); AWP | Exothermic: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; USP-S | Sleeping Potion: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074941 instead of 0.074078

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build