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The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −23.73$

Invest at least 49.60$

Average return 25.87$

ROI −47.8%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 49.60 $, profit at most −23.73 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

0.95 $

at 0.95

Steam

×6

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

10.40 $

at 1.73

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

9.49 $

at 3.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.84 $ +5.03 (+24.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

in profit

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

28.77 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

11.92 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

11.52 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

151.00 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

12.64 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

12.07 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 only The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.52 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2627010 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.52$ · invest 20.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested), SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162560 instead of 0.165056
Craft 2628406 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 5.36$ · invest 17.73$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested), Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build