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The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −60.09₴

Invest at least 433.46₴

Average return 373.37₴

ROI −13.9%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 433.46 ₴, profit at most −60.09 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

124.03 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

25.91 ₴

at 8.64

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

29.45 ₴

at 29.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.38 ₴ +193.99 (+108.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

165.37 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

8.64 ₴

at 8.64

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

29.45 ₴

at 29.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 203.45 ₴ +243.53 (+119.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

144.70 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

17.27 ₴

at 8.64

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

29.45 ₴

at 29.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.41 ₴ +218.77 (+114.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

103.35 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

34.54 ₴

at 8.64

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

29.45 ₴

at 29.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 167.34 ₴ +169.22 (+101.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 76%
Losing outcome 24%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

715.98 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

444.26 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

982.10 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483.81 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

367.27 ₴ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270.33 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

106.54 ₴ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

102.26 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

275.15 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

122.80 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +127.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +185.59 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620760 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 212.49₴ · invest 171.80₴
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2621283 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 198.50₴ · invest 173.42₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074463 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2620732 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 194.63₴ · invest 194.47₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build