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The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −922.19₽

Invest at least 2 681.96₽

Average return 1 759.77₽

ROI −34.4%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 2 681.96 ₽, profit at most −922.19 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

240.00 ₽

at 80.00

Steam

×2

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

291.00 ₽

at 145.50

Steam

×5

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

605.85 ₽

at 121.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 136.85 ₽ +622.92 (+54.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 17%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 868.23 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 925.30 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 127.76 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.053899

1 182.09 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

795.06 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

about break-even

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 243.99 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +358.85 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +547.47 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620676 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 811.91₽ · invest 890.00₽
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear), M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.168221
Craft 2621444 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 791.36₽ · invest 1 465.37₽
rare inputs

MP9 | Goo (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162974 instead of 0.168221; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074512 instead of 0.076337
Craft 2616284 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 752.63₽ · invest 1 622.41₽
outcome without sales rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested), M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076337
Craft 2619538 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 741.85₽ · invest 1 433.82₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested), M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074961 instead of 0.076337
Craft 2621293 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 702.67₽ · invest 736.08₽
P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear), M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161877 instead of 0.168221
Craft 2621021 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 671.81₽ · invest 1 066.00₽
Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167872 instead of 0.168221; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076216 instead of 0.076337
Craft 2615180 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 655.38₽ · invest 1 295.54₽
outcome without sales

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162086 instead of 0.168221; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074204 instead of 0.076337

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build