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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −563.71₴

Invest at least 1 249.49₴

Average return 685.78₴

ROI −45.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 249.49 ₴, profit at most −563.71 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

299.81 ₴

at 42.83

Steam

×2

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

155.79 ₴

at 77.90

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

65.12 ₴

at 65.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 520.73 ₴ +165.05 (+31.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%

in profit

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 292.93 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

535.57 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

517.86 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.147499

1 298.76 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

614.02 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095999

629.27 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Falchion Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +99.53 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +141.55 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2610863 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 177.22₴ · invest 496.44₴
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162182 instead of 0.168399; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074237 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2601672 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 176.24₴ · invest 523.86₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 2621398 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 164.79₴ · invest 544.61₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)
Craft 2620966 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 163.16₴ · invest 505.05₴
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build