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The Dead Hand Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −18.94$

Invest at least 50.16$

Average return 31.22$

ROI −37.8%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 50.16 $, profit at most −18.94 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

15.60 $

at 1.73

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

4.23 $

at 4.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.83 $ +11.39 (+57.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57.99 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.93 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.34 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon

Factory New

float up to 0.038809

31.07 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | AXIA

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

49.47 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2621566 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 11.52$ · invest 21.42$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076804
Craft 2617330 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 10.96$ · invest 20.60$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076804
Craft 2621638 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10.57$ · invest 19.60$
rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075456 instead of 0.076804
Craft 2621319 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 10.57$ · invest 20.21$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076804
Craft 2610861 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 10.37$ · invest 20.17$
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076804

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build