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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −79.39₴

Invest at least 155.31₴

Average return 75.92₴

ROI −51.1%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 155.31 ₴, profit at most −79.39 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

34.26 ₴

at 4.28

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3864

30.12 ₴

at 15.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.38 ₴ +11.54 (+17.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143571

41.71 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

29.46 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

90.06 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162857

39.34 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

32.74 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128571

175.75 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

80.01 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111428

710.18 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

192.38 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249285

91.24 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.42 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.01 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2623028 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 13.94₴ · invest 69.31₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested)
Craft 2623306 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 13.55₴ · invest 60.72₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383557 instead of 0.386464
Craft 2623303 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 10.78₴ · invest 60.36₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn): float at most 0.390262 instead of 0.386464

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build