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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −44.84$

Invest at least 86.36$

Average return 41.52$

ROI −51.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 86.36 $, profit at most −44.84 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

6.82 $

at 6.82

Steam

×6

AWP | Duality

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

19.34 $

at 3.22

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

10.21 $

at 3.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.37 $ +5.14 (+14.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

31.39 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

56.86 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

76.83 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

83.77 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.59 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2636190 · The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 4.83$ · invest 33.42$
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)
Craft 2626335 · The Gallery Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 4.73$ · invest 34.68$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build