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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −2.36$

Invest at least 5.82$

Average return 3.46$

ROI −40.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 5.82 $, profit at most −2.36 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

0.15 $

at 0.15

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

1.48 $

at 0.18

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.40 $ +1.06 (+44.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

1.11 $

at 0.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

0.64 $

at 0.32

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1722

1.54 $

at 0.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.29 $ +1.11 (+33.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

1.61 $

at 0.32

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

3.08 $

at 0.77

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

2.11 $

at 2.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.80 $ +0.44 (+6.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.18 $

at 0.18

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1.61 $

at 0.32

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

3.08 $

at 0.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.88 $ +1.42 (+29.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.74 $

at 0.18

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

0.97 $

at 0.32

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

2.31 $

at 0.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.02 $ +1.34 (+33.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.061710

1.78 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

0.92 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.064473

4.51 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.93 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

1.34 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

13.35 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.064473

23.80 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

10.66 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

8.90 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

12.07 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.54 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.90 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2622366 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.05$ · invest 1.99$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)
Craft 2622578 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 1.00$ · invest 2.50$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.075648; StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.075648
Craft 2617350 · The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 0.99$ · invest 2.16$
StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)
Craft 2622207 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 0.97$ · invest 2.03$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.075648; StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.075648

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build