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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −940.95₸

Invest at least 2 272.72₸

Average return 1 331.77₸

ROI −41.4%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 2 272.72 ₸, profit at most −940.95 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

323.83 ₸

at 323.83

Steam

×3

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

214.54 ₸

at 71.51

Steam

×6

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

433.61 ₸

at 72.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 971.99 ₸ +359.78 (+37.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −863 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

2 126.08 ₸

at 265.76

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

323.83 ₸

at 323.83

Steam

×1

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

71.51 ₸

at 71.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 521.42 ₸ +521.64 (+20.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −729 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 860.32 ₸

at 265.76

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

323.83 ₸

at 323.83

Steam

×2

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

143.03 ₸

at 71.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 327.18 ₸ +502.00 (+21.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −595 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 594.56 ₸

at 265.76

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

323.83 ₸

at 323.83

Steam

×3

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

214.54 ₸

at 71.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 132.93 ₸ +482.35 (+22.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −461 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 328.80 ₸

at 265.76

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

323.83 ₸

at 323.83

Steam

×3

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

214.54 ₸

at 71.51

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

72.27 ₸

at 72.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 939.44 ₸ +461.89 (+23.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

911.92 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

1 173.79 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 949.59 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

1 650.80 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

741.58 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 918.17 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 848.27 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 012.35 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 496.00 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

452.94 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +178.86 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +303.32 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2617401 · The Chroma Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 348.72₸ · invest 1 064.98₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2624172 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 342.91₸ · invest 1 096.02₸
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2624758 · The Fever Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 327.26₸ · invest 1 003.45₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build