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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −95.03₴

Invest at least 210.98₴

Average return 115.95₴

ROI −45.0%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 210.98 ₴, profit at most −95.03 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

22.74 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

19.59 ₴

at 4.90

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

46.77 ₴

at 9.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89.10 ₴ +26.84 (+30.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

45.49 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

14.70 ₴

at 4.90

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

46.77 ₴

at 9.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.95 ₴ +30.19 (+28.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

90.97 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

91.47 ₴

at 30.49

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

28.06 ₴

at 9.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 210.50 ₴ +32.57 (+15.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

68.23 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

182.94 ₴

at 30.49

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

9.35 ₴

at 9.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 260.52 ₴ +24.93 (+9.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 74%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220.03 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098122

86.89 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

85.13 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116733

73.56 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085964

79.27 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073684

175.75 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

192.31 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.063859

938.42 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.061403

365.43 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.202631

91.24 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.97 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.27 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2624433 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 29.62₴ · invest 84.31₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 2624093 · The Fever Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 29.01₴ · invest 78.02₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 2624376 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 27.69₴ · invest 91.69₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168864 instead of 0.169003; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076561 instead of 0.076610
Craft 2623995 · The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 27.25₴ · invest 82.90₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build