to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit · with float −1.72$

Invest 43.85$

Average return 42.14$

ROI −3.9%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 43.85 $, profit −1.72 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 12 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Well-Worn

any lot

4.46 $

at 4.46

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

any lot

37.52 $

at 4.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.98 $ +0.16 (+0.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

52.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

48.44 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

32.14 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

33.12 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.20 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.46 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build