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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −94.04₴

Invest at least 178.04₴

Average return 84.00₴

ROI −52.8%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 178.04 ₴, profit at most −94.04 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

45.18 ₴

at 15.06

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

22.38 ₴

at 4.48

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

9.35 ₴

at 4.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.91 ₴ +7.09 (+9.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

45.18 ₴

at 15.06

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

80.63 ₴

at 20.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

9.35 ₴

at 4.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

8.74 ₴

at 8.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 143.90 ₴ +16.28 (+11.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3841

60.24 ₴

at 15.06

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

20.16 ₴

at 20.16

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

18.70 ₴

at 4.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

8.74 ₴

at 8.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107.84 ₴ +14.26 (+13.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 76%
About break-even 6%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

29.58 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

31.01 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

35.36 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

28.87 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

29.67 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

175.75 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

80.01 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.129999

710.18 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

192.38 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.267499

91.24 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.52 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.63 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build