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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −2 056.72₸

Invest at least 10 308.65₸

Average return 8 251.93₸

ROI −19.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 10 308.65 ₸, profit at most −2 056.72 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

3 626.94 ₸

at 453.37

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

413.97 ₸

at 206.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 040.90 ₸ +4 211.03 (+104.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

2 266.84 ₸

at 453.37

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

206.98 ₸

at 206.98

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 667.31 ₸

at 416.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 141.13 ₸ +2 508.15 (+60.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

1 813.47 ₸

at 453.37

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 563.04 ₸

at 390.76

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

833.66 ₸

at 416.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 210.16 ₸ +1 904.90 (+45.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

906.73 ₸

at 453.37

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

390.76 ₸

at 390.76

Steam

×7

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

2 917.80 ₸

at 416.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 215.29 ₸ +831.34 (+19.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 7%

in profit

best

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 118.29 ₸ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

10 285.98 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 750.90 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

5 392.21 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

float up to 0.051099

5 383.14 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 949.32 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 985.75 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 719.39 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2623827 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 957.48₸ · invest 4 974.19₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested)
Craft 2623738 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4 788.94₸ · invest 4 748.05₸
sells slowly

XM1014 | Ziggy (Field-Tested), MP9 | Goo (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162355 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2623709 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4 707.30₸ · invest 4 064.65₸
sells slowly

P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested), MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162129 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2623470 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4 667.30₸ · invest 4 306.88₸
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested)
Craft 2619624 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 4 525.69₸ · invest 4 245.89₸
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161715 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2618226 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 4 211.37₸ · invest 4 080.90₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested), Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162637 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2621675 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 4 128.29₸ · invest 4 197.42₸
sells slowly

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163829 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2623309 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 4 036.34₸ · invest 3 928.53₸
sells slowly

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161768 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2623547 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4 025.59₸ · invest 4 010.41₸
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested), M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162494 instead of 0.163747

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build