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The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −111.77₴

Invest at least 321.94₴

Average return 210.18₴

ROI −34.7%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 321.94 ₴, profit at most −111.77 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

32.12 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

×9

SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

96.03 ₴

at 10.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 128.15 ₴ +82.03 (+64.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

26.36 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

64.25 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

×1

P250 | Bullfrog

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.82 ₴

at 4.82

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

64.02 ₴

at 10.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.45 ₴ +75.82 (+47.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

79.09 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

64.25 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

×1

P250 | Bullfrog

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.82 ₴

at 4.82

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

42.68 ₴

at 10.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 190.83 ₴ +69.52 (+36.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

105.45 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

64.25 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

×1

P250 | Bullfrog

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.82 ₴

at 4.82

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

32.01 ₴

at 10.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 206.52 ₴ +66.38 (+32.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

158.17 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

64.25 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

×1

P250 | Bullfrog

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.82 ₴

at 4.82

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10.67 ₴

at 10.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 237.91 ₴ +60.09 (+25.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 2%

in profit

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

173.64 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Liquidation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

467.53 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

172.40 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.12 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Continuum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

163.71 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

289.47 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

877.70 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

398.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

247.59 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

44.93 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +51.01 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +70.97 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2609715 · The Ascent Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 83.73₴ · invest 133.25₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2628481 · The Genesis Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 82.24₴ · invest 127.52₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2617522 · The Chroma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 80.93₴ · invest 137.38₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2628219 · The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 80.35₴ · invest 140.46₴
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2619819 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 78.66₴ · invest 111.37₴
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2628210 · The Genesis Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 76.69₴ · invest 133.98₴
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076779 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build