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The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −302.24₽

Invest at least 717.62₽

Average return 415.39₽

ROI −42.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 717.62 ₽, profit at most −302.24 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

56.95 ₽

at 56.95

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

152.39 ₽

at 21.77

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

93.22 ₽

at 46.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 302.56 ₽ +112.83 (+37.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

42.48 ₽

at 42.48

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

56.95 ₽

at 56.95

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

130.62 ₽

at 21.77

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

93.22 ₽

at 46.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 323.27 ₽ +101.36 (+31.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

84.96 ₽

at 42.48

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

56.95 ₽

at 56.95

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

108.85 ₽

at 21.77

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

93.22 ₽

at 46.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 343.98 ₽ +89.90 (+26.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 76%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

251.21 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

1 296.48 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

274.54 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

253.09 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

259.99 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

328.27 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

359.21 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072799

1 326.50 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

682.56 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.211399

170.43 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +51.47 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +94.24 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2617527 · The Chroma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 125.21₽ · invest 290.13₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162504 instead of 0.163426; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074349 instead of 0.074670
Craft 2617529 · The Chroma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 120.22₽ · invest 290.13₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.163426; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.074670
Craft 2628176 · The Genesis Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 120.04₽ · invest 287.81₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.163426; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.074670
Craft 2628701 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 119.53₽ · invest 279.14₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161972 instead of 0.163426; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074164 instead of 0.074670

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build