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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −360.37₴

Invest at least 888.73₴

Average return 528.35₴

ROI −40.5%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 888.73 ₴, profit at most −360.37 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

289.10 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

59.44 ₴

at 59.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 348.54 ₴ +179.81 (+51.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −82 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

224.86 ₴

at 32.12

Steam

×1

MP7 | Cirrus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

125.55 ₴

at 125.55

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Sonar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

364.92 ₴

at 182.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 715.33 ₴ +25.06 (+3.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

289.47 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

877.70 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

398.00 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

247.59 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

615.65 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

999.19 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.013725

379.81 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

5 220.70 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.005882

287.18 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.010784

1 637.65 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +88.84 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +149.53 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2601703 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 165.69₴ · invest 311.85₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build