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The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −609.55₴

Invest at least 1 222.60₴

Average return 613.05₴

ROI −49.9%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 1 222.60 ₴, profit at most −609.55 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4834

36.88 ₴

at 36.88

Steam

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

359.77 ₴

at 44.97

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3842

97.74 ₴

at 97.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 494.40 ₴ +118.66 (+24.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1757

359.77 ₴

at 44.97

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3878

97.74 ₴

at 97.74

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1757

113.86 ₴

at 113.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 571.38 ₴ +121.46 (+21.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

224.86 ₴

at 44.97

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

455.46 ₴

at 113.86

Steam

×1

FAMAS | ZX Spectron

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

151.47 ₴

at 151.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 831.79 ₴ +100.39 (+12.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

415.25 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

1 020.32 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

404.23 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Snack Attack

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 663.76 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Toybox

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 534.74 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

1 393.70 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22.16 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +94.65 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2623422 · The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 126.91₴ · invest 478.33₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Eye of Zapems (Battle-Scarred) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493221 instead of 0.483428; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168074 instead of 0.163979
Craft 2623532 · The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 123.84₴ · invest 442.14₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Battle-Scarred) instead of MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.485373 instead of 0.483428; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164792 instead of 0.163979

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build