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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −462.59₽

Invest at least 853.85₽

Average return 391.26₽

ROI −54.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 853.85 ₽, profit at most −462.59 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

60.00 ₽

at 60.00

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

120.45 ₽

at 24.09

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

180.44 ₽

at 45.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 360.89 ₽ +30.37 (+8.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079333

344.15 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076533

389.07 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

633.03 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

540.68 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

173.11 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.048533

743.41 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

462.46 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187599

83.92 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −22.56 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.26 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2612720 · The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 31.41₽ · invest 348.38₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161629 instead of 0.161869; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003539 instead of 0.003612

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build