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The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −1.71$

Invest at least 12.43$

Average return 10.72$

ROI −13.8%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 12.43 $, profit at most −1.71 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

1.43 $

at 0.71

Steam

×3

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1.21 $

at 0.40

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

2.64 $

at 0.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.29 $ +5.43 (+102.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

3.52 $

at 0.59

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1.43 $

at 0.71

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Crypsis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.37 $

at 0.37

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.40 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.73 $ +2.34 (+40.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 16%

in profit

best

AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37.22 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

17.13 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.27 $ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

6.32 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

1.75 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

6.44 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19.53 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

8.85 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5.51 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

1.00 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.37 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.55 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 28 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2634126 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.74$ · invest 4.57$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2606053 · The Achroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.51$ · invest 5.25$
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075986 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075986 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2609928 · The Ascent Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.51$ · invest 5.51$
rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635442 · The Prisma Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 5.44$ · invest 5.26$
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635519 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 5.44$ · invest 4.83$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635619 · The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5.42$ · invest 4.35$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2617761 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.38$ · invest 5.70$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2630564 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.36$ · invest 5.83$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2616833 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.21$ · invest 4.55$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2630076 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.19$ · invest 5.54$
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076007 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076007 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2615755 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.19$ · invest 4.15$
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635560 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5.17$ · invest 5.53$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2626209 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.17$ · invest 5.24$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635491 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 5.14$ · invest 4.48$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074030 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074030 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2613771 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.12$ · invest 5.28$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075920 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075920 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2627751 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.09$ · invest 4.48$
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635712 · The Prisma Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 5.01$ · invest 5.26$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074409 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074409 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2612778 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.01$ · invest 4.99$
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2625344 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.93$ · invest 3.89$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075490 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075490 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2622201 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.89$ · invest 3.76$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075144 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075144 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635014 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.86$ · invest 4.41$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2634619 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.74$ · invest 5.11$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074418 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074418 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635649 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.73$ · invest 4.16$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635683 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.71$ · invest 4.50$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2620176 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.70$ · invest 4.23$
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074453 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074453 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2618772 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.65$ · invest 4.11$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075490 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075490 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2635458 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4.59$ · invest 4.09$
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075490 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075490 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2631559 · The Italy Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.40$ · invest 5.17$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076086

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build