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The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −12.50$

Invest at least 24.77$

Average return 12.27$

ROI −50.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 24.77 $, profit at most −12.50 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3840

1.69 $

at 0.85

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

7.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

1.47 $

at 1.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.16 $ +2.11 (+20.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

2.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

10.28 $

at 1.47

Steam

×1

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2.66 $

at 2.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.94 $ +0.18 (+1.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

9.24 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

22.70 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

8.99 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Fever Dream

Factory New

float up to 0.068749

19.06 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.28 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Decimator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106249

20.63 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.59 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2623611 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 2.24$ · invest 9.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Well-Worn) instead of UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.384023; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163221
Craft 2623356 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 2.22$ · invest 11.33$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Parallax (Well-Worn) instead of UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.384023; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163221
Craft 2600971 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 2.20$ · invest 9.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Well-Worn) instead of UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.384023; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163221
Craft 2623856 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 2.10$ · invest 10.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384952 instead of 0.384023; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166272 instead of 0.163221
Craft 2617389 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 2.10$ · invest 10.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385243 instead of 0.384023; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167227 instead of 0.163221
Craft 2623766 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2.04$ · invest 10.16$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384475 instead of 0.384023; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164703 instead of 0.163221; UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164703 instead of 0.163221

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build