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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float +344.39₽

Invest at least 3 359.96₽

Average return 3 704.35₽

ROI +10.2%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 3 359.96 ₽, profit at most +344.39 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

504.00 ₽

at 84.00

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

885.80 ₽

at 221.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 389.80 ₽ +2 314.55 (+166.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

168.00 ₽

at 84.00

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

1 107.25 ₽

at 221.45

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2 159.97 ₽

at 719.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 435.22 ₽ +2 246.61 (+65.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

462.46 ₽

at 462.46

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

1 328.70 ₽

at 221.45

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2 159.97 ₽

at 719.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 951.13 ₽ +2 225.07 (+56.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 943.55 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 398.75 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 060.00 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

1 905.79 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 991.93 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 665.29 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 017.07 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2618009 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2 284.44₽ · invest 3 008.30₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164236 instead of 0.162445
Craft 2628052 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2 198.32₽ · invest 2 171.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear), P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165690 instead of 0.162445
Craft 2621524 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2 194.97₽ · invest 2 433.25₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161731 instead of 0.162445
Craft 2637114 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2 152.27₽ · invest 2 878.06₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165205 instead of 0.162445
Craft 2634900 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2 150.99₽ · invest 3 082.79₽
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested), USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165048 instead of 0.162445
Craft 2628757 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2 145.67₽ · invest 2 229.31₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear), Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161731 instead of 0.162445
Craft 2635327 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 881.61₽ · invest 2 156.77₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear), Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161731 instead of 0.162445

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build