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The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −8.33$

Invest at least 15.86$

Average return 7.54$

ROI −52.5%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 15.86 $, profit at most −8.33 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

3.36 $

at 0.56

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

2.23 $

at 0.74

Steam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

1.10 $

at 1.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.70 $ +0.84 (+12.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

1.12 $

at 0.56

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2.23 $

at 0.74

Steam

×5

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

5.50 $

at 1.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.85 $ +0.88 (+9.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.74 $

at 0.74

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.01 $

at 1.01

Steam

×8

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

8.80 $

at 1.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.56 $ +0.83 (+7.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8.82 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8.63 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6.66 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

10.08 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

24.44 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

8.55 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.64 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2624618 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 0.88$ · invest 7.04$
rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2624645 · The Fever Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 0.88$ · invest 7.58$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build