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The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −84.09$

Invest at least 146.82$

Average return 62.73$

ROI −57.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 146.82 $, profit at most −84.09 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

41.01 $

at 5.13

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

6.73 $

at 6.73

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0844

12.07 $

at 12.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.81 $ +2.92 (+4.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

20.50 $

at 5.13

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

6.73 $

at 6.73

Steam

×5

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

51.55 $

at 10.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.78 $ +0.67 (+0.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

30.75 $

at 5.13

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

13.45 $

at 6.73

Steam

×2

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

20.62 $

at 10.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.83 $ +2.08 (+3.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

25.63 $

at 5.13

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

6.73 $

at 6.73

Steam

×4

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

41.24 $

at 10.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.60 $ +1.67 (+2.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

71.35 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

63.32 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

103.34 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.294799

127.45 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.22 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2616390 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 2.67$ · invest 61.36$
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168442 instead of 0.164769; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076414 instead of 0.075137

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build