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The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit · with float −0.58$

Invest 42.56$

Average return 41.98$

ROI −1.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 42.56 $, profit −0.58 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 12 contracts · easy (by listings)

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

any lot

37.52 $

at 4.17

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Well-Worn

any lot

3.16 $

at 3.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.68 $ +1.29 (+3.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

52.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

48.44 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

29.78 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Temukau

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756000

31.75 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.33 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2621709 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 1.40$ · invest 43.60$
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) instead of UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2621710 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 1.38$ · invest 43.60$
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) instead of UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.562499 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2623972 · The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1.28$ · invest 41.39$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Well-Worn) instead of UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.624894 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build